Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico

Lubinda, Jailos y Treviño C., Jesús A. y Walsh, Mallory Rose y Moore, Adrian J. y Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali y Akgun, Seval y Zhao, Bingxin y Barro, Alassane S. y Begum, Mst Marium y Jamal, Hera y Angulo Molina, Aracely y Haque, Ubydul (2019) Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico. Parasite Epidemiology and Control, 6. e00116. ISSN 24056731

[img]
Vista previa
Texto
1-s2.0-S2405673119300790-main.pdf - Versión Publicada
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.

Download (1MB) | Vista previa

Resumen

Background: This paper discusses a comparative geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes in Mexico, using environmental suitability modeling and reported cases of arboviral infections. Methods: Using presence-only records, we modeled mosquito niches to show how much they influenced the distribution of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus based on mosquito records collected at the municipality level. Mosquito surveillance data were used to create models regarding the predicted suitability of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti mosquitos in Mexico. Results: Ae. albopictus had relatively a better predictive performance (area under the curve, AUC = 0.87) to selected bioclimatic variables compared to Ae. aegypti (AUC = 0.81). Ae. aegypti were more suitable for areas with minimum temperature of coldest month (Bio6, permutation importance 28.7%) −6 °C to 21.5 °C, cumulative winter growing degree days (GDD) between 40 and 500, and precipitation of wettest month (Bio13) N8.4 mm. Minimum temperature range of the coldest month (Bio6) was −6.6 °C to 20.5 °C, and average precipitation of the wettest month (Bio13) 8.9 mm ~ 600 mm were more suitable for the existence of Ae. albopictus. However, arboviral infections maps prepared from the 2012–2016 surveillance data showed cases were reported far beyond predicted municipalities. Conclusions: This study identified the urgent necessity to start surveillance in 925 additional municipalities that reported arbovirus infections but did not report Aedes mosquito.

Tipo de elemento: Article
Palabras claves no controlados: Habitat suitability, MaxEnt, Niche modeling
Materias: R Medicina > RA Aspectos Públicos de la Medicina
Divisiones: Ciencias Químicas
Usuario depositante: Editor Repositorio
Creadores:
CreadorEmailORCID
Lubinda, JailosNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Treviño C., Jesús A.NO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Walsh, Mallory RoseNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Moore, Adrian J.NO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad AliNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Akgun, SevalNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Zhao, BingxinNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Barro, Alassane S.NO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Begum, Mst MariumNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Jamal, HeraNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Angulo Molina, AracelyNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Haque, UbydulNO ESPECIFICADONO ESPECIFICADO
Fecha del depósito: 19 Nov 2020 17:20
Última modificación: 19 Nov 2020 17:20
URI: http://eprints.uanl.mx/id/eprint/20229

Actions (login required)

Ver elemento Ver elemento

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year