Has mexican growth been pro-poor?

Araar, Abdelkrim y Duclos, Jean-Yves y Audet, Mathieu y Makdissi, Paul (2007) Has mexican growth been pro-poor? Perspectivas sociales, 9 (1). pp. 17-47. ISSN 1405-1133

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Resumen

This paper proposes techniques to test for whether growth has been propoor. We first review different definitions of pro-poorness and argue for the use of methods that can generate results that are robust over classes of pro-poor measures and ranges of poverty lines. We then provide statistical pro-cedures that rely on the use of sample data to infer whether growth has been pro-poor in a population. We apply these procedures to Mexican household surveys for the years of 1992, 1998 and 2004. We find strong statistical evidence that Mexican growth has been absolutely anti-poor between 1992 and 1998, absolutely pro-poor between 1998 and 2004 and between 1992 and 2004, and relatively pro-poor between 1992 and 2004 and between 1998 and 2004. The relative assessment of the period between 1992 and 1998 is statistically too weak to lead to a robust evaluation of that period.

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